{"id":18890,"date":"2024-10-23T17:50:36","date_gmt":"2024-10-23T17:50:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pirustinews.com\/?p=18890"},"modified":"2025-03-23T17:58:02","modified_gmt":"2025-03-23T17:58:02","slug":"paradoksi-zyrtarisht-ekonomia-u-rrit-ne-4-8-ndersa-emigracioni-ne-shifra-alarmante","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pirustinews.com\/?p=18890","title":{"rendered":"Paradoksi.. \u201cZyrtarisht\u201d ekonomia u rrit n\u00eb 4.8%, nd\u00ebrsa emigracioni n\u00eb shifra alarmante."},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00a0-P\u00ebrgatiti: Mr.Sc Izabela DEDAJ-<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"Ekonomia shqiptare nuk e ka pasur asnj\u00ebher\u00eb problem t\u00eb \u201cshk\u00eblqej\u00eb\u201d me shifrat. Rezultati final \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb m\u00eb i mir\u00eb sesa parashikimi i fillimvitit. Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar (FMN) priste n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb 2023-shit q\u00eb viti t\u00eb mbyllej me nj\u00eb rritje prej 2%, nd\u00ebrsa shifra reale mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb midis 3.2-3.5%, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb rezultateve t\u00eb tremujorit t\u00eb kat\u00ebrt. N\u00eb vitin 2022, vendi u zgjerua me 4.8%, rreth 1.15 pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjeje mbi mesataren rajonale.<\/p>\n

N\u00ebse u referohemi shifrave q\u00eb na serviren nga burime t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb, situata si \u00e7doher\u00eb nuk paraqitet alarmante. Edhe Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar (FMN) priste n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb 2024-\u00ebs q\u00eb viti t\u00eb mbyllej me nj\u00eb rritje prej 2%, nd\u00ebrsa shifra reale mund t\u00eb rezultoj\u00eb midis 3.2-3.5%, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb rezultateve t\u00eb tremujorit t\u00eb kat\u00ebrt. N\u00eb vitin 2023, vendi u zgjerua me 4.8%, rreth 1.15 pik\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjeje mbi mesataren rajonale.<\/p>\n

E nisa n\u00eb fillim me t\u00eb dh\u00ebna optimiste q\u00eb na serviren, por n\u00ebse hulumtojm\u00eb rezulton se problem m\u00eb i madh dhe q\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrt\u00ebt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb prezent, ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me pyetjen:<\/p>\n

Sa dhe si \u00ebsht\u00eb cil\u00ebsia e rritjes ekonomije q\u00eb po p\u00ebrjeton vendi? <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Problemi real, n\u00eb fakt, \u00ebsht\u00eb cil\u00ebsia e rritjes ekonomike, q\u00eb po p\u00ebrjeton vendi. N\u00eb fillim un\u00eb konstatoj se \u201cNd\u00ebrtimi dhe konsumi kan\u00eb kontribuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb konsiderueshme n\u00eb rritjen e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vitet e fundit. Nd\u00ebrsa un\u00eb si ekonomiste ja dyshuese p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb tendenc\u00eb \u00a0n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb mir\u00eb q\u00eb k\u00ebta sektor\u00eb duhet t\u00eb orientojn\u00eb rritjen ekonomike q\u00eb Shqip\u00ebria do t\u00eb ket\u00eb n\u00eb baz\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb pasi \u00ebsht\u00eb e provuar ata nuk gjenerojn\u00eb vendet e mira t\u00eb pun\u00ebs, q\u00eb jan\u00eb nj\u00eb arsye e fort\u00eb q\u00eb rinia \u00ebsht\u00eb larguar masivisht nga vendi, madje nuk ka asnj\u00eb shenj\u00eb se kjo hemoragji rinore t\u00eb reduktohet, n\u00eb mos t\u00eb ndalohet.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Edhe FMN q\u00eb monitoron n\u00eb \u00e7do hap ekonomin\u00eb shqiptare nuk duket aspak entuziste me k\u00ebt\u00eb tendenc\u00eb. Disa her\u00eb FMN ka deklaruar se Shqip\u00ebria duhet t\u00eb fokusohet n\u00eb krijimin e nj\u00eb mjedisi t\u00eb sh\u00ebndosh\u00eb biznesi, q\u00eb do t\u00eb nxiste zhvillimin e prodhimit me vler\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb shtuar dhe do t\u00eb rriste produktivitetin.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vijim t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj ideje Anke Weber, shefe e misionit n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri e FMN-s\u00eb<\/strong>, n\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb p\u00ebr \u201cMonitor\u201d \u00ebsht\u00eb shprehur se \u201cZbatimi i reformave strukturore p\u00ebr t\u00eb forcuar qeverisjen, kapitalin njer\u00ebzor dhe konkurrenc\u00ebn, si dhe p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimi i infrastruktur\u00ebs, do t\u00eb ndihmonte Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00ebrheq\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb investime t\u00eb huaja dhe t\u00eb integrohej m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb zinxhir\u00ebt e vler\u00ebs globale\u201d. <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Duke vijuar znj. Weber konstaton se \u201cshifrat nuk kan\u00eb \u201cg\u00ebnjyer\u201d asnj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb forc\u00ebs s\u00eb pun\u00ebs, q\u00eb n\u00eb munges\u00eb t\u00eb alternativave m\u00eb t\u00eb mira t\u00eb pun\u00ebsimit apo perspektiv\u00ebs e ka gjetur zgjidhjen n\u00eb emigracion, duke u kthyer gradualisht n\u00eb nj\u00eb problem<\/em><\/strong> madhor t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare, q\u00eb nuk duket se po gjen zgjidhje.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa znj. Ekaterina Solovova,<\/strong> drejtuese p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb e Bank\u00ebs Europiane p\u00ebr Rind\u00ebrtim dhe Zhvillim (BERZH), n\u00eb nj\u00eb intervist\u00eb po p\u00ebr \u201cMonitor\u201d citon se \u201cFrenimi i emigracionit duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb nga objektivat kryesor\u00eb t\u00eb politikave ekonomike dhe sociale, n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet t\u00ebrheqjes s\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb Investimeve t\u00eb Huaja Direkte n\u00eb sektor\u00eb prodhues dhe sh\u00ebrbimesh me pun\u00eb m\u00eb produktive dhe me pag\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb, duke krijuar m\u00eb shum\u00eb mund\u00ebsi pune p\u00ebr grat\u00eb, t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb dhe njer\u00ebzit me disavantazhe, si dhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsoj\u00eb cil\u00ebsin\u00eb e arsimit\u201d<\/strong>.<\/em><\/p>\n

N\u00ebse i referohemi 9\u00a0 muajve t\u00eb par\u00eb t\u00eb 2024 paraqitur nga INSTAT tregojn\u00eb se nd\u00ebrtimi dhe pasurit\u00eb e paluajtshme kan\u00eb udh\u00ebhequr rritjen ekonomike n\u00eb T I dhe T II dhe u rendit\u00ebn t\u00eb dyt\u00ebt dhe t\u00eb tret\u00ebn n\u00eb T III, pas administrat\u00ebs publike (e ndikuar nga rritja e pagave).\u00a0Treg\u00ebtia<\/a>, Transporti, Akomodimi dhe sh\u00ebrbimi ushqimor, q\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb lidhura direkt me nd\u00ebrtimin dhan\u00eb nj\u00eb kontribut modest, nd\u00ebrsa bujq\u00ebsia dhe industria n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe kishin efekt negativ.<\/p>\n

Praktikisht, nd\u00ebrtimi dhe pasurit\u00eb e paluajtshme kan\u00eb ndikuar n\u00eb gati gjysm\u00ebn e rritjes p\u00ebr 9 mujorin, tregues i var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb vendit nga nj\u00eb model zhvillimi i paq\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm dhe vler\u00eb t\u00eb shtuar t\u00eb ul\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

Inflacioni, q\u00eb u rrit m\u00eb pak se mesatarja e BE-s\u00eb n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve, tashm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 4%, dy her\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se n\u00eb BE, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb problemeve t\u00eb brendshme, kryesisht nga kostot e larta t\u00eb prodhimeve bujq\u00ebsore.<\/p>\n

FMN parashikon q\u00eb inflacioni do t\u00eb arrij\u00eb objektivin e Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb prej 3% n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb vitit 2025. \u201cKa pasiguri rreth tendenc\u00ebs s\u00eb inflacionit dhe koha dhe madh\u00ebsia e k\u00ebtyre rritjeve duhet t\u00eb jen\u00eb fleksib\u00ebl dhe t\u00eb orientuara nga t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat, duke marr\u00eb n\u00eb konsiderat\u00eb perspektiv\u00ebn e p\u00ebrgjithshme makroekonomike\u201d, k\u00ebmb\u00ebngul n\u00eb iden\u00eb e saj \u00a0FMN.<\/p>\n

Edhe sektor\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb po i ndiejn\u00eb pasojat, si fasoni (p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb motit t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb ka ndryshuar k\u00ebrkesa p\u00ebr veshje, duke krijuar stok p\u00ebr veshjet e dimrit), prodhimi i ver\u00ebs etj. Vendi nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb ende i p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr t\u2019u p\u00ebrballur me k\u00ebt\u00eb proces.<\/p>\n

Mungesa e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore, kryesisht rrjedhoj\u00eb e emigracionit t\u00eb lart\u00eb po kthehet n\u00eb nj\u00eb problem real p\u00ebr bizneset, duke penguar planet e tyre p\u00ebr investime. Salinas i Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore thot\u00eb se teksa humbja e kapitalit njer\u00ebzor \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb rrezik kritik p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar largimin e punonj\u00ebsve bizneset u detyruan t\u00eb rrisnin pagat e punonj\u00ebsve, t\u00eb nxituar dhe nga l\u00ebvizjet e qeveris\u00eb p\u00ebr pagat e administrat\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Por, dhe hap\u00ebsira p\u00ebr rritjen e pagave, q\u00eb nuk u shoq\u00ebrua me shtim t\u00eb produktivitetit, duket se \u00ebsht\u00eb ezauruar.<\/p>\n

Institucionet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare presin q\u00eb rritja t\u00eb jet\u00eb e moderuar edhe k\u00ebt\u00eb vit. Si FMN, ashtu dhe BERZH, parashikojn\u00eb q\u00eb zgjerimi i ekonomis\u00eb do t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb rreth 3.3% n\u00eb 2024.<\/p>\n

Konsumi i frenuar nga \u00e7mimet e larta dhe politika ende e shtr\u00ebnguar monetare q\u00eb pret t\u00eb mbaj\u00eb Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb jan\u00eb dy faktor\u00eb q\u00eb veprojn\u00eb kund\u00ebr, nd\u00ebrsa\u00a0turizmi<\/a>\u00a0do t\u00eb vijoj\u00eb t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb pozitivisht.<\/p>\n

Shpejt\u00ebsia e rritjes pritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb e ndryshme, n\u00eb var\u00ebsi t\u00eb sektor\u00ebve dhe faktor\u00ebve specifik\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb pozitivisht, apo negativisht.<\/p>\n

Paradoksi i turizmit t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe efektit zhg\u00ebnjyes n\u00eb ekonomi<\/strong><\/p>\n

Shqip\u00ebria p\u00ebrjetoi n\u00eb 2023-shin dhe sidomos 6 mujorin e par\u00eb, me tendn\u00ebc\u00eb edhe at\u00eb t\u00eb dytin t\u00eb 2024, si periudh\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb historike t\u00eb saj, duke kaluar p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb shifr\u00ebn e 15 milion\u00eb shtetasve t\u00eb huaj q\u00eb hyn\u00eb n\u00eb vend. \u00c7udit\u00ebrisht, efekti n\u00eb ekonomi ishte tejet i ul\u00ebt n\u00eb krahasim me at\u00eb q\u00eb pritej.<\/p>\n

Aktiviteti i \u201cTregtia me shumic\u00eb dhe me pakic\u00eb; riparimi i automjeteve dhe moto\u00e7ikletave; transporti dhe magazinimi; aktivitetet e akomodimit dhe sh\u00ebrbimit ushqimor\u201d, q\u00eb kontribuon n\u00eb rreth 17% t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb (i dyti pas bujq\u00ebsis\u00eb) dhe normalisht duhet t\u00eb reflektonte efektin e konsumit t\u00eb shtuar nga turizmi, u rrit me vet\u00ebm 0.77% n\u00eb tremujorin e tret\u00eb 2024.<\/p>\n

Edhe p\u00ebr gjith\u00eb 9-mujorin, ky aktivitet \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjeruar me m\u00eb pak se 2%, shum\u00eb m\u00eb pak se nivelet dyshifrore q\u00eb kishte arritur dy vitet e m\u00ebparshme.<\/p>\n

Disa nga faktor\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb ndikuar n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb tendenc\u00eb vler\u00ebsohet se jan\u00eb informaliteti i lart\u00eb n\u00eb turiz\u00ebm dhe shpenzimet e ul\u00ebta t\u00eb t\u00eb huajve q\u00eb vijn\u00eb n\u00eb vend, q\u00eb kryesisht kategorizohen si turist\u00eb me \u00e7anta shpine.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb kahun tjet\u00ebr, vendi ka \u201chumbur\u201d konsumator\u00eb si rrjedhoj\u00eb e emigracionit t\u00eb lart\u00eb sidomos t\u00eb t\u00eb rinjve, q\u00eb shfaqet n\u00eb r\u00ebnien e konsumit t\u00eb drith\u00ebrave, sheqernave, sallamet etj.<\/p>\n

Gjithsesi, t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn p\u00ebr ardhjen e turist\u00ebve, viti 2025 pritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb s\u00ebrish pozitiv. Burime zyrtare nga \u201cTirana International Airport\u201d konfirmojnw se n\u00eb vitin 2024, p\u00ebrmes k\u00ebtij aeroporti pritet t\u00eb fluturojn\u00eb 15 milion\u00eb pasagjer\u00eb, nga rreth 7.3 milion\u00eb pasagjer\u00eb q\u00eb u mbyll 2023-shi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00a0-P\u00ebrgatiti: Mr.Sc Izabela DEDAJ- Ekonomia shqiptare nuk e ka pasur asnj\u00ebher\u00eb problem t\u00eb \u201cshk\u00eblqej\u00eb\u201d me…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18891,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[709],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18890","post","type-post","status-publish","format-gallery","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kryesor","post_format-post-format-gallery"],"yoast_head":"\nParadoksi.. \u201cZyrtarisht\u201d ekonomia u rrit n\u00eb 4.8%, nd\u00ebrsa emigracioni n\u00eb shifra alarmante. - Pirusti News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/pirustinews.com\/?p=18890\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sq_AL\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Paradoksi.. \u201cZyrtarisht\u201d ekonomia u rrit n\u00eb 4.8%, nd\u00ebrsa emigracioni n\u00eb shifra alarmante. - 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